ron johnson approval rating 538
If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, his PARS would be -5 (2-7 = -5). 1990 FLEER. He is also the most unpopular Republican among the broader electorate who is up for re-election next year. Meanwhile, Republican U.S. In a state where the Democratic president eked out one of his narrowest margins of victory over Trump (just under 21,000 votes), Biden has seen his standing plummet especially in the suburban communities that Democrats relied on for 2018 midterm victories and Bidens own success. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. 2023 CNBC LLC. All Rights Reserved. The poll, whose . Price: US $0.99. Partisan lean is the average margin difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. Chris Sununus net approval rating is +30, so he is expected to comfortably win reelection. Johnson's campaign had raised more than $17 million by July 20, compared with $7 million raised by Barnes though Barnes' campaign said on Aug. 1 that it raised $1.1 million in just a week, after his Democratic rivals united behind him. Johnson is widely considered the most vulnerable Republican senator up for re-election this year, but some see a path to victory built on Bidens own unpopularity and traditional midterm dynamics that favor the party outside the White House. He has refused to take responsibility for his unpopularity, claiming in January that it is all the news media's fault. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. But while Johnson is unpopular, few are ready to declare his chances dead on arrival as he revs up his third Senate campaign in a state Trump lost by just a sliver in 2020. So is the gap between how conservatives and liberals view him. Johnsons rating has risen from plus 50 six years ago to plus 57 with Republicans; from plus 33 to plus 46 with self-identified conservatives; from plus 15 to plus 26 with born-again Protestants; and from plus 2 to plus 9 with white noncollege men. Plus 5 to minus 28 among moderates (the second sharpest decline). In Marquettes last poll, 36% of voters viewed him favorably and 58% viewed him unfavorably. Plus 18to minus 20 among voters 70 and older (the sharpest decline among any group we looked at). Raphael Warnock, Mark Kelly, Maggie Hassan and Catherine Cortez Masto all have PARS scores of at least +7, suggesting that they are capable of outperforming the base partisanship of their state. Last week, U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) reneged on his pledge to step down after two terms and announced he would seek re-election.. Only 6 percent of employees able to do their jobs remotely One month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 42.2 percent and a disapproval rating of 52.2 percent, for a net approval rating of -10.0 points. How Every Senator Ranks According To Popularity Above Replacement Senator, polls the approval ratings of U.S. senators, How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Dwight D. Eisenhower 1953-61. He does so despite woeful approval ratings among Wisconsin . In fact, senators from the party out of power (i.e., the party opposed to the sitting president . Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) is deeply unpopular among his own constituents, according to a new poll released Monday. Multiple polls also show Johnson's approval ratings underwater. People are more polarized over Johnson by party, by ideology, by gender and other measures. Mandela Barnes in the general election in Wisconsin, NBC News projected. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 . But Kleefisch did the best of the Republicans in thehead-to-head matchup against Evers, with 43% of the vote versus 47% for Evers. The fact that Johnsons negatives have spiked among Democrats and liberals may not be a big deal, since these are voters very unlikely to support him anyway. Since then, President Biden has been sworn in, and with dual wins in Georgia, Democrats went . The governors race in Rhode Island could be a sleeper, though, considering Gov. ), Senators like Manchin and McConnell are exceptions, though. Compared with his peak in popularity in the pre-pandemic year of 2019 when his average favorability rating was plus 10 the downturn is notable. The decline in sentiment largely started after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020 but gained momentum after Biden was elected, when Johnson made headlines for his statements about the Jan. 6 Capitol attack and skepticism of vaccines. Since 2015-16, Johnsons popularity rating has gone from minus 50 to minus 73 with Democrats; from minus 54 to minus 76 with liberals; from minus 31 to minus 45 with nonreligious voters; and from minus 19 to minus 32 with urban voters. 2020 Senate Elections (55) In a state where the Democratic president eked out one of his narrowest margins of victory over Trump (. Results from the most recent update. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson emerged from Donald Trumps presidency with his approval ratings in Wisconsin underwater and its only gotten worse under Joe Biden, even as voters there have soured on the Democratic president. RCP Senate Ratings, Map. It began in the age of enlightment (renaissance). These polling trends dont mean Johnson cant win this fall. Lt. Gov. The American Independent is the No. GOP Candidate: Ron Johnson (Incumbent) Dem Candidates: Mandela Barnes. According to the latest figures, taken from surveys conducted among 10,496 registered Wisconsin voters between Oct. 1 and Dec. 31, 36 percent of Badger State voters approved of his job performance, 51 percent disapproved and 13 percent had no opinion. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnson's job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. A week ago, Republicans led Democrats by 2.6 points (45.4 percent to 42.8 percent). Wisconsins senior senator should get a boost from traditional midterm dynamics, where the party out of power is helped by animosity toward the party in the White House. Richard Nixon 1969-74. They all sit in closely divided states (from R+2 for New Hampshire to D+2 for Minnesota), yes, but they are all also quite popular. A Democratic senator with a net approval of +2 in an R+7 state has a PARS of +9 (2+7 = 9). A spokesperson for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., says he was unaware of an exchange between his staff and that of Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. Ron Johnson and His Wife Jane Johnson. Republicans in Wisconsin said Johnson would do well to craft a message meant to appeal to voters in the middle, nodding to the approach of Virginia Gov. Given the history of midterms and President Bidens negative job ratings, 2022 is expected to be a good year for Republicans. As Sen. Ron Johnson weighs whether to run again, his embrace of Trump's anti-democratic campaign to overturn the election results already has angered some mainstream Republican allies, and is poised As Sen. Ron Johnson weighs future, Trump ties take a toll Senator, led by Lt. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images), Johnsons Standing in Wisconsin Declined Over Bidens First Year in Office. More:'He doesn't understand medicine is a science': Ron Johnson escalates 'guerrilla war' against medical establishment, More:Here are the 11 Democrats in Wisconsin's 2022 U.S. Senate race who are seeking to unseat Ron Johnson. During the pandemic, the senator has blasted health agencies and medical experts, promoted unproven treatments and questioned the broad push for vaccination. Post author: Charles Franklin; Post published: August 17, 2022; Post category: Poll Release . Pay no attention to countless testimonies? But Democratic Gov. Fifty-one percent of voters disapprove of his performance, including 56 . "First of all, I'm not a polarizing figure. But the decline hasnt been even across groups. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass. Get The American Independent in your inbox, Former senior investigative reporter at ThinkProgress and former head of money-in-politics reporting at the Center for Public Integrity. The senators name recognition has grown to its highest levels. In our average of polls of the generic congressional ballot,6 Republicans currently lead by 2.6 percentage points (45.5 percent to 42.9 percent). The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Then again, a senators PARS score isnt everything. Share: Listen Download. FiveThirtyEights partisan lean is the average margin difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. He simply cant introduce himself for the first time to an electorate that sees him spin further and further into the most toxic reaches.. Johnson has come under fire in recent months for his votes to cut taxes for himself and his very rich donors while backing "most of" National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair Rick Scott's 11-point "Rescue America" proposal which includes a large tax hike for more than 100 million lower-income and retired Americans and fighting against efforts to make child care more affordable. Announces Mary Ellen Stanek as Board Chairwoman and adds Dr. Joan Prince and Charles Harvey to Board of Directors, Tiffany Tardy Named New Executive Director of MPS Foundation, DWD Announces Appointments of Jeremy Simon as Assistant Deputy Secretary, Arielle Exner as Legislative Liaison. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson faces a Wisconsin electorate that is more negative toward him and more polarizedoverhim than ever. With the prospect that abortion could soon be illegal in many states, some people may face difficult decisions about what to do if they have an unwanted pregnancy. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? But PARS reveals why the handicappers arent so sure. Toward the bottom of the list are five governors running for reelection whose approval ratings dont look as strong as they seem after taking partisan lean into account. All rights reserved. (from left) Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., Catherine Cortez Masto, D-Nev., and Ron Johnson, R-Wis., are all facing . Over the past year, Johnson has suffered through his longest and deepest period of unpopularity since Marquette began polling about him in early 2013 a stretch of 61 statewide polls. Johnsons slippage has been minimal among pro-Trump voters and voters who describe themselves as very conservative. It has been very steep among Democrats and liberals. 2 in PARS with a score of +33. All rights reserved. A Division of NBCUniversal. Wisconsin Democrats are eager to win back the Senate seat, which has been occupied by Republican Sen. Ron Johnson a top conservative foil and ally to former President Donald Trump since he . While the majority of Wisconsin Republican voters (62 percent) approve of his job performance, that figure is down from 70 percent before the pandemic and from 78 percent in the first three months of 2017, just after his re-election. Right now, the Democrats are trying to steal this election blah, blah, blah!. In October, Johnson said that the top 1% of earners already pay "pretty close to a fair share. Tony Earlagainst his four potential Republican challengers, with Evers leading all four and Kleefisch running closest to the governor. We strive to report with honesty and integrity, shining a light on those in power and the progressive politics movement. Yet, even though his net approval rating has long been underwater, he easily won reelection in 2020 thanks to Kentuckys overwhelming Republican lean. If the Democratic presidential nominee carries their states (admittedly, this will be easier for Colorado than for Texas), the party may get a Senate seat as a bonus. Contact Us, Take the next step, become a member. Each has a PARS between +1 and -3, indicating that their net approval rating is in line with their states partisan lean. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES. Governors net approval ratings (approval ratings minus disapproval ratings) for the first three months of 2022 relative to the FiveThirtyEight partisan leans of their states. Johnson has also felt losses among voters from his own party. Will they go back to the Republican Party because of Biden, or go to the polls and think, Yeah, I dont like Biden, but Ron Johnsons too crazy for Wisconsin?, he wrote announcing his re-election campaign was a good start in appealing to both the GOP base and the 6 to 7 percent who stand in the middle of the Wisconsin electorate as true swing voters. The same Marquette poll showed that among likely voters, Johnson is leading his Democratic . @baseballot, Mitch McConnell (63 posts) ), could be Democrats best hope to flip a Senate seat in November. Cant fix stupid or true believers. Quantity: Last One. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. to hit the Biden administrations failed response to the COVID-19 pandemic, crime rates and the rising cost of living all issues that give Democrats heartburn. RCP House Ratings, Map. Both Kelly and Republican State Attorney General Derek Schmidt won their respective nominations with little opposition. Several conservatives involved in the state argued that Johnson casting himself as foe of Biden and the national Democratic brand could help shore up his intraparty standing. The Cook Political Report lists the 2022 Senate race as a toss-up. Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. 1 digital platform for progressive news, reaching millions of people each month. But whatever strengths Johnson brings to his bid for a third term, his current standing with the Wisconsin public poses some real perils. He assumed office on January 3, 2011. Another may be Johnsons increasingly outspoken support for Donald Trump, the ultimate lightning rod in American politics. There are far fewer voters than in the past who are undecided about Johnson, which could make it harder for him to improve his image over the course of this campaign. And how effective is what they plan to do to whoever the eventual nominee is?. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in the . Barnes and Johnson have attacked each other as being too politically extreme and out of touch. Early polling indicates a tight race. George H.W. Voters will be measuring him against a Democratic opponent, but we wont know who that will be until after the states August primary. Ronald Harold Johnson (Republican Party) is a member of the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin. Senator Ron Johnson's . 1990 FLEER BASEBALL 501-660 YOU PICK SEE SCANS .99 UNLIMITED SHIPPING HIGH GRADE. A. Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. 2023, Urban Milwaukee, Inc. All rights reserved. R+23. Find many great new & used options and get the best deals for 1978 Topps Baseball (501-726) Pick from List EX-NM at the best online prices at eBay! In Wisconsin, Sen. Ron Johnson - who aligned with Trump's election challenge publicly while reportedly admitting privately that Biden won - starts the 2022 cycle with one of the weakest approval ratings (61 percent) among GOP voters. Previous Morning Consult polling has shown Johnson near the bottom of the pack in terms of base support among Republican senators running for re-election this year. Independent Sens. The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel (among other news outlets) is reporting that two-term Republican incumbent Ron Johnson has decided to run and will make his formal announcement very soon: Johnson . ", "It's not like we don't have enough jobs here in Wisconsin," he told reporters in February. Timmy! In fact, the only current senator with a lower approval rating is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has infamously blocked hundreds of popular pieces of legislation.. Today, the Democrat wins, he said. In 2016, Johnson easily outperformed Donald Trump on the same ballot in these three counties. Kelly, on the other hand, does have a brand distinct from the national Democratic Party, but its an open question whether she can get enough Kansas Republicans who approve of her to take the extra step and vote for her as well. Published with permission of The American Independent Foundation. The two-term incumbent, backed by former President Donald Trump, is the only Republican senator running for reelection in a state that President Joe Biden won in 2020. Scott and Kelly4 seem to be in the best position, especially Scott: Not only does he have more cross-party appeal than Kelly (+77 PARG), but he is also a Republican running in a good Republican year. Partisan types. Phil Scott has not yet announced whether he is running, but it is expected that he will, as of May 12, 2022. Map 1: Crystal Ball Senate ratings. In that five-month stretch, he averaged a net rating of minus 8. The world has been led by intensive and extensive waves of darkness from renaissance all the way down to the Covid crisis. Well over half (57 percent) of voters in the state . Heading into this years campaign, though, Morning Consults quarterly tracking shows Johnsons approval rating severely underwater. Everss PARG is just +1, suggesting perceptions of him are strongly dependent on partisanship. > Less popular senator: Republican Sen. Ron Johnson > Q4 2019 approval rating: 41.0% > Least popular House member: Republican Rep. Bryan Steil, 1st District Its based on the same premise as my Popularity Above Replacement Governor (PARG) statistic1 that its a good idea to think about politicians popularity in the context of their states partisanship. We're pretty sure you're a member and you're definitely not signed in. With Florida currently struggling with one of the highest rates of COVID-19 in the country, slightly more than half of voters (51 percent) disapprove of Governor Ron DeSantis' handling of the response to the coronavirus, while 46 percent approve, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of registered voters in Florida released today. With the help of Morning Consult, which polls the approval ratings of U.S. senators every quarter, weve created a statistic that Im playfully calling Popularity Above Replacement Senator (PARS). Michels has quickly jumped to the lead in the Republican primary, with 27% of the vote versus 26% for Kleefisch, 10% for former Marine Kevin Nicholson, and 3% for Rep. Timothy Ramthun. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images), Barnes tops Johnson by 7 points in Wisconsin Senate race: poll, Ron Johnson tries for a rebrand after years of controversy and Democratic attacks, 'Out of touch': Wisconsin's Barnes and Johnson prepare for general election campaign defined by attacks. 56% of independent voters in Wisconsin disapproved of Johnsons job performance up 14 percentage points since late 2020. Biden's approval rating rises to 45% from 36% in July. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of . Johnson, 67, has also been a magnet for criticism from Democrats who say he has spread harmful conspiracy theories about the . The . ago. In Marquettes recent polling, there is now a massive 130-point partisan gap in attitudes toward Johnson: plus 57 among Republicans, minus 73 among Democrats. RCP Senate Ratings, Map. Incumbent Sens. Her net approval rating in the Morning Consult poll has been on the decline over the past two years, but she still has a solid +13 net approval rating. The top 10 Senate seats that are most likely to flip to the other party. The January 6 hearings are a dog and pony show They should be holding the Jeffrey Epstein Videotaped Every US Congressman that Visited Epstein Pedophile Island and then Epstein Blackmailed Them hearings Or how about the Joe Biden Staged a Coup in Kiev in 2014, Overthrew the Democratically Elected Government of Ukraine, Then Murdered Over 15,000 Russian Speaking Ukraine Civilians hearings. Jon Tester (+33 PARS) and Sherrod Brown (+20 PARS), who have managed to win multiple elections despite hailing from red states. What is Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate Daniel Kelly's record on abortion? If youre running in a purple state and its a Republican year, none of that matters., Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. They might have been in real danger of losing their seats in 2022, but thankfully for Democrats, both are retiring. McConnell manages just a -13 net approval rating despite inhabiting an R+23 state. The souring has been steepest among independent voters in Wisconsin. Ron Johnson's approval ratings are underwater in a swing state that President Joe Biden won. McConnell beat Grimes 56 percent to 41 percent. while Evers' approval rating remains above water. January 25, 2022 at 12:01 am ET. Scribd is the world's largest social reading and publishing site. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnsons job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. At this time last month, voters preferred Republicans by 2.2 points (44.7 percent to 42.5 percent). According to the survey of about 800 registered voters, Democratic Governor Tony Evers' approval rating slid from 50% in August to 45%. Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Democrats have zeroed in on Johnson's seat as they fight to hang onto their razor-thin Senate majority. Biden Job Approval on Issues. Abstract The modern civilization is the antithesis of religious way of life. In Marquettes polling, most voters including about one-third of Republicans are skeptical toward Johnsons statements about COVID. When the dates . Voters do not. I think Johnson is in a strong position from the standpoint of being the incumbent and not having a primary, Hitt said. Have you been living under a rock? Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin had not held office prior to his election to the Senate, being a CEO for a plastics and manufacturing company beforehand. Ron DeSantis of Florida and Greg Abbott of Texas have seen their approval ratings dip amid an alarming rise of Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations in both states over the past two months, . Follow him on Twitter @jeisrael. And if he is able to maintain a positive net approval rating (its +6 currently), that will be a sign of life for his candidacy. Among likely voters, Sen. Ron Johnson is supported by 52% and Lt. Gov. The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. Governor Mandela Barnes, and even tighter in the Republican primary for governor, with businessman Tim Michelsin a near-tie with former Lt. The polling suggests that in the past two years, Johnson has positioned himself better for the first task than the second. In other words, compared with a similar low point in the previous election cycle, Johnson is doing better with his best groups and worse with his worst groups. According to a Morning Consult Political Intelligence survey of all 50 states, just 37% of registered Wisconsin voters approve of Johnson, while 51% disapprove. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in the battleground state, which voted for former President Donald Trump in 2016 and President Joe Biden in 2020. Its not crazy to think he could be vulnerable in 2020. I'm just trying to convey the truth. Ditch the ads, get free stuff. and 7% for Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson. One is that it illustrates how Johnson has come back from poor ratings before. Check out all the polls weve been collecting ahead of the 2020 elections. Johnson's approval ratings have decreased in the last few years, according to polling by the Marquette Law School. In 2014, McConnell also had popularity problems, and Democrats thought they had a top candidate to challenge him in Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes. New Marquette Law School Wisconsin survey finds Barnes with 7-point lead over Johnson in U.S. Senate race, Evers ahead of Michels by 2 points in the race for governor, and Biden approval rating unchanged . Republican Sen. Ron Johnson will defend his seat against Democratic Lt. Gov. The governor got 48% of the vote to 41% for Michels, 48% versus 40% for Nicholson, and 48% versus 41% for Ramthun. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. According to FiveThirtyEights presidential approval tracker,5 41.4 percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, while 52.6 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of -11.2 points). Hey NieWiederKrieg, I think a part of your brain must be dead. According to the latest Morning Consult poll, which covered the first three months of 2019, Manchin had a +5 net approval rating. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., is one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents, with the Cook Political Report rating the Wisconsin race as a toss-up and the race for Pennsylvania's open Senate seat as . Why has the electorate increasingly polarized over Johnson? The question is whether or not hell focus on the winning message, whether or not people will respond, or whether those negative numbers are so baked in, he said. These are some takeaways from a detailed analysis of nearly a decade of polling on Johnson by the Marquette Law School. The question is: What will those suburban swing voters think? 772 days 4 . Johnson, who is one of Trumps biggest supporters in the Senate, has come under fire in recent months for controversial remarks, including arguing Social Security and Medicare should be categorized as discretionary spending, spreading misinformation about Covid-19 vaccines potentially causing AIDS, saying he doesnt trust the FBI after it searched Trumps Mar-a-Lago estate last week, and sending text messages to aides revealed at the January 6 hearings indicating he wanted to hand-deliver fake electors to former Vice President Mike Pence during the 2020 election. As a result, more governors than senators have PARGs at the extreme ends of the spectrum, as you can see in the table below. But what they missed was that she could create a sincere connection with those working-class voters in rural areas and in Democratic-rich Dane [County] and Milwaukee.. On the flip side, Republican Sen. Ron Johnson has one of the worst PARS scores (-18); despite his home state of Wisconsin having an R+4 partisan lean, his net approval rating is -14 percentage points. That will be essential in a year when, based solely on partisan lean and generic congressional ballot polling, youd expect a Republican to win their home states, all else being equal. Buy It Now. Johnson, 67, is also the subject of an ethics complaint over a $280,000 gift to his chief of staff, which he argued was intended for the employees cancer treatments, NBC News reported. This raises the question of whether Johnson in 2022 can replicate his 2016 vote in the WOW counties, or whether he needs to make up any erosion there in increasingly red rural Wisconsin.